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2024 Budapest Assembly election

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2024 Budapest Assembly election

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All 33 seats in the General Assembly of Budapest
17 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Szentkirályi Alexandra 2022.jpg
Magyar Péter (cropped).jpg
Várhelyi Karácsony 2024 (cropped).jpg
Leader Alexandra Szentkirályi Péter Magyar Gergely Karácsony
Party Fidesz–KDNP TISZA DK–MSZP–P
Last election 13 seats New 13 seats
Seats won 10 10 6
Seat change Decrease 3 New Decrease 7
Popular vote 227,285 216,609 131,696
Percentage 28.69% 27.34% 16.62%

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
VitézyDávid2021 (crop).jpg
Leader Dávid Vitézy Krisztina Baranyi [hu]
Party VDBLMP MKKP
Last election 0 seats (LMP) 0 seats
Seats won 3 3
Seat change Increase 3 Increase 3
Popular vote 80,402 62,541
Percentage 10.15% 7.89%

Mayor before election

Gergely Karácsony
Dialogue

Elected Mayor

TBD

The 2024 Budapest Assembly election were held on 9 June 2024, concurrent with other local elections in Hungary. In December 2023, the Hungarian Parliament restored party-list proportional rules, which was last applied in the 2010 Budapest Assembly election. During the election, 32 representatives will be elected, while the Mayor of Budapest will be elected directly by popular vote at the same time.

Background[edit]

During the 2014 and 2019 Budapest Assembly elections, voters elected the Mayor of Budapest, and the mayors of the 23 districts directly, while 9 seats in the assembly were distributed proportionally, taking into account votes cast for losing district mayoral candidates.

In October 2023, former liberal MP Gábor Fodor, who by then had become a vocal supporter of the ruling party Fidesz, proposed the restoration of the party-list proportional rules in the Budapest Assembly elections, which was applied between 1994 and 2010. According to Fodor, the dominance of the district mayors in the General Assembly of Budapest results in "the capital's aspects appearing less in the decisions". According to the opposition politicians, Fidesz prepared the amendment of the electoral law with this opinion article months before the election, in the same way as in 2014, along the lines of current political interests. Incumbent mayor Gergely Karácsony argued "it is not realistic that a minion of Viktor Orbán's regime would have come up with this proposal from his own wellhead". Fodor's idea was widely embraced by the pro-government media in the following weeks. Independent media Telex.hu analyzed that the amendment complicates the situation of the opposition parties, who are forced to cooperate while running separately in the simultaneously held European Parliament election.[1]

The opposition Our Homeland Movement submitted the amendment proposal to the parliament in November 2023. According to them, "the current system favors the two largest political poles (Fidesz and the left-wing opposition), which does not correspond to democratic diversity".[2] The parliament, with the government alliance Fidesz–KDNP's two-thirds majority, voted for the amendment to the law in December 2023, restoring the party list system after ten years.[3]

Election system[edit]

The old-new election system restored party-list proportional rules. List seats were distributed using the D'Hondt method. The 32 representative seats of the 33-member General Assembly of Budapest are allocated in proportion to the votes cast on party lists (the mayor is the 33th member of the assembly). A metropolitan list can be submitted by that party or organization that has a mayoral candidate in at least three districts, or launch a candidate for the position of Mayor of Budapest. Parties whose lists reach the 5% entry threshold enter the General Assembly.[3]

Mayor[edit]

Debates[edit]

Location Date Participants
DK–MSZP–P Fidesz–KDNP Momentum MKKP TISZA VDBLMP Our Homeland Workers' Party ANP Solidarity
ATV[4] 2024-06-02 checkY ☒N checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY not invited

Opinion polling[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size
DK–MSZP–Dialogue Alliance MM LMP–VDB MHM MKKP TISZA Other Lead
DK MSZP Dialogue
4–6 June 2024 Publicus 1,042 24 23 7 16 1 9 20 1 1
23–25 May 2024 Medián 1,000 29 20 5 11 3 8 24 5
17–22 May 2024 Medián 1,000 31 23 6 7 4 12 16 1 8

Results[edit]

PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Fidesz–KDNP227,28528.6910–3
Respect and Freedom Party216,60927.34New10New
Dialogue–DK–MSZP131,69616.626–7
VDBLMP80,40210.153+3
Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party62,5417.8930
Momentum Movement39,4714.980–4
Our Homeland Movement30,2083.8100
Hungarian Workers' Party1,8350.2300
On the People's Side Party1,3150.17New0New
SzolidaritásLP7HP9300.12New0New
Mayor-elect seat10
Total792,292100.0033
Valid votes792,29298.29
Invalid/blank votes13,7431.71
Total votes806,035100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,333,79560.43
Source: NVI

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Újra listás szavazás a fővárosban? A Fidesznek kedvezne a fodori fondorlat". telex.hu (in Hungarian). 26 October 2023.
  2. ^ "Fodor Gábor után a Mi Hazánk is visszahozná a listás választási rendszert Budapesten". telex.hu (in Hungarian). 21 November 2023.
  3. ^ a b "Megszavazta a Fidesz-KDNP: listás választás jön Budapesten újra". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 12 December 2023.
  4. ^ Dániel, Szalay (18 May 2024). "Az ATV bejelentette a fővárosi listavezetők és az EP-listavezetők élő tévévitáinak részleteit | Media1". Media1 (in Hungarian). Retrieved 20 May 2024.